UFC · Lightweight · Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM CT

Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa Prediction & Props

Head-to-head record, recent form and the player props for Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa, each with its last-10 hit rate and ChalkEdge Edge Score™.

ChalkEdge's strongest prop for this match: Melquizael Costa Takedowns Under 1.5, which hit 6/10 in the last 10 fights (Edge Score™ 68). Research, not a guarantee.

Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa props

PlayerPropLineLast 10Edge Score™
Jared GordonFinishes (Wins by KO/Sub)0.5 est.U 7/960
Melquizael CostaTakedowns1.5 est.U 6/1068
Jared GordonKnockouts (Wins by KO/TKO)0.5 est.U 7/960
Melquizael CostaFinishes (Wins by KO/Sub)0.5 est.U 6/1060
Jared GordonSubmissions (Wins by Sub)0.5 est.U 9/960
Melquizael CostaKnockouts (Wins by KO/TKO)0.5 est.U 8/1060
Jared Gordon1st Round Finish (Wins in Round 1)0.5 est.U 7/960
Melquizael CostaSubmissions (Wins by Sub)0.5 est.U 8/1060
Jared Gordon2nd Round Finish (Wins in Round 2)0.5 est.U 9/960
Melquizael Costa1st Round Finish (Wins in Round 1)0.5 est.U 7/1060
Jared Gordon3rd Round Finish (Wins in Round 3)0.5 est.U 9/960
Melquizael Costa2nd Round Finish (Wins in Round 2)0.5 est.U 10/1060
Jared GordonTotal Rounds1.5 est.O 5/959
Melquizael Costa3rd Round Finish (Wins in Round 3)0.5 est.U 9/1060

Head-to-head

No stored meetings between Jared Gordon and Melquizael Costa yet.

Recent form

Jared Gordon

  • L vs Jim Miller L · Submission R1 3:29 · May 9, 2026
  • L vs Rafa Garcia L · KO/TKO R3 2:27 · Sep 13, 2025
  • W vs Thiago Moises W · KO/TKO R1 3:37 · May 17, 2025
  • L vs Nasrat Haqparast L · Decision - Split R3 5:00 · Jun 22, 2024
  • W vs Mark Madsen W · KO/TKO R1 4:42 · Nov 11, 2023

Melquizael Costa

  • L vs Arnold Allen L · Decision - Unanimous R5 5:00 · May 16, 2026
  • W vs Dan Ige W · KO/TKO R1 4:56 · Feb 21, 2026
  • W vs Morgan Charriere W · KO/TKO R1 1:14 · Dec 14, 2025
  • W vs Julian Erosa W · Decision - Unanimous R3 5:00 · May 17, 2025
  • W vs Christian Rodriguez W · Decision - Unanimous R3 5:00 · Mar 29, 2025

Quick answers

When is Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa?

Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa starts Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM CT in Lightweight (3 rds · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit).

What is the best prop for Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa?

ChalkEdge rates Melquizael Costa Takedowns under 1.5 highest (Edge Score 68): it hit in 6 of the last 10 fights. This is research, not a guarantee.

Every prop for this match

Members see every prop on both sides with L5, L20, full head-to-head, splits, line shopping across books, line movement and +EV prices.

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